1) How to make a profit at a distance? The importance of the concept of value.
Betting is an investment. Someone trades on the stock exchange, someone makes a deposit in a bank, and someone has a stable profit from sports betting. However, you need to treat this as an investment. The only way to beat the bookmaker is long distance(to make a systematic profit, and not to double the bank once and then lose everything) in betting is to find events that are underestimated by the bookmaker.
The whole point of betting is to assess the probability of events. You need to find matches in which your probability estimate exceeds the bookmaker's estimate. This is VALUE. The bookmaker's estimate is included in the odds.
Example: let’s say the bookmaker’s odds for the outcome of Zenit-Spartak TB2.5 are 2.0 (i.e., the probability of breaking the total = 1 / 2.0 = 50% - without taking into account the bookmaker’s margin). You think the probability is at least 60%. Those. a fair odds should be 1/0.6 = 1.67. Value is obvious. If we take a distance of 1000 similar matches, we will get 400 losses and 600 wins at odds of 2.0. Those. 1200 – 1000 = 200. Or 20% of net profit.
2 ) Why is 60% cross-country ability already cool? Isn't that enough?..
Are you promised a monthly (or even daily) doubling of the bank? Send them to the forest. Look a little further than your nose. Yes, you can be given 3-4 visiting forecasts in a row. But can they act without error all the time? Will they make it at least a few months plus? No one sees the future, and no one predicts 100%, or even 80% of events. You can guess 8 out of 10, you can get a series of 15 positive outcomes (and I did), but it’s almost impossible to guess 800 out of 1000 and win all the time. We are, of course, talking about normal odds (1.8 or more), and not about 1.01.
60% pass rate with an average odds of 1.9 gives 14% net profit. 14% monthly cumulative total is 482% per year. Not bad, right? However, we still need to reach this 60% and 1.9. You need to look at a distance of at least 100 forecasts (and reliably from 500 or more).
3) Here: are there fixed matches?
Yes, fixed matches exist. But no one will sell them to you. This information is worth huge money and is intended for a narrow circle of people. All the people who sell “negotiables” for 100 rubles look funny. If you know the outcome of the match 100%, charge a million and go to Bali. Funny picture on topic: 
4) Error “hit”. What is a sagging coefficient?
Never bet on odds of 1.2 – 1.3. They are absolutely not profitable. To return one bet you need to place 4. Moreover, the probability that they will enter all at once is much less than expected. The sagging odds are due to the skewed line. Many people bet on the same event, and as a result, the bookmaker adjusts the line towards the market. Let’s say that initially the odds for TB2.5 in the Manchester United – Liverpool match were 1.8. But people bet a lot on TB, and as a result the odds drop to 1.55. This odds are no longer profitable (remember about value?). However, many still continue to bet - this strategy is wrong. Either have time to bet at the normal odds, or wait for the line to straighten in live, or refrain from betting altogether. A systematic bet on a sagging odds leads to bankruptcy.
5) Why is it profitable to bet on unpopular leagues? Why do most people lose their money at the World Cup, Champions League, League of Legends, Premier League?
It's simple. In unpopular leagues, it is much more common to find “value” odds (that is, with value). Firstly, bookmakers often set incorrect lines for matches in the lower leagues. There are slightly lower limits, but you can definitely throw in 5-10 thousand. Often these values exceed 30 thousand, depending on the league. Secondly, there is no mass thoughtless loading of events.
As for the top champions, the best bookmaker analysts work on the matches, so finding a value odds is much more difficult. In addition, there is a whole cohort of people who bet on favorites. They know the Real Madrid brand - they buy Real for 1.2, regardless of the situation, they load negative handicaps. By the way, that’s why it’s more profitable to bet on underdogs and positive odds at a distance. However, you need to competently find such matches. This trend is clearly visible in the final matches.
6) Why do 90% of people give money to the bookmaker?
Because they don’t know what bank roll management is. This concept comes from poker, which in turn came from financial management. It is better to have 10% stable - this gives more than 200% net per annum. Than 150% in a month, and then drain everything over the next two. That is why it is worth limiting the amount of a single bet. Only you decide how much percentage of the bank you take - depending on how excited you are. If after 5 losses in a row you start to panic and win back, you should bet 1-2% of the bank. If you react adequately to losses – 5%. The maximum limit is 10%, but you should bet this amount only if you are extremely confident and there are good reasons to do so (it happens 1-2 times a month, and then not every month).
Accordingly, you can forget about what VA-BANK is. I know many stories of how people then get into loans and ruin their lives.
7) Did I lose?
Yes. There is no person who has not had a single unsuccessful period. If he says otherwise, believe me, he is a charlatan. Everyone experiences so-called lose streaks - a series of defeats. I won’t tell you the longest chain of losses, but there have been 30% monthly drawdowns in my more than 7-year history. However, it also happened that more than 100% of the profit came out per month.
8) How much should I bet according to my forecasts?
If you read the last paragraph carefully, I think you understand. Maximum 5% of the bank. You make the decision about the bet, and take responsibility for it.
9) Are express trains profitable?
An express bet with odds of 200 looks cool, but only a few out of millions collect it. Express bets are generally unprofitable at a distance and should be used extremely rarely. And a maximum of 2-3 events. The disadvantage is that the probabilities are multiplied. Let's say you give 60% to each of the matches that they will win. So, the probability that they will enter at the same time is only 36%. Are you ready to take that risk?
10) Are live bets profitable?
I do not recommend getting into live betting on your own. Most lose when playing live, because... It is more difficult to control your emotions here. An instant loss triggers the mechanism that you need to win back. Only with vast experience behind you can you turn to live. I see only 3 reasons why this tool is needed.
1. Make a cover bet if you see that events are developing completely differently than expected.
2. Bet on TB after 15 minutes of a football match. Often during this period, teams are just taking a closer look at each other, getting into the match, and less than 10% of all goals are scored in the first 15 minutes. At the same time, the odds will naturally increase.
3. Live bet on the NBA. Often the game takes place “swinging” - with a change of leaders. You can take the desired handicap at higher odds at some points in the match.
11) Which bookmakers are the best?
In the CIS space I think the best office BC Marathon. Mastodons of the betting business: pinnacle and sbobet. Also excellent offices: William Hill, bet365. I like 1xbet a little less.
There is no single most profitable strategy. I believe that flat is one of the best. This is either a fixed amount of bets all the time, or a % of the current/starting bank.
13) How much time do I devote to betting per day?
On average 6-8 hours. Depending on the line.
14) Why do I need all this?
You can make money by betting. I would like those who are now losing to be able to improve the situation. If you wish, you can always find mutually beneficial options if you are interested in something more than a blog.
15) Be continued...
P.S. Subscribe to the blog and group on VK ->
Bets on double outcome very favorable for the bettor. In theory, each of the three outcomes of a football match can end in a victory for one of the teams or a draw, and each of them corresponds to a 33.3% probability. What bettor would refuse a bet in which his chances were increased to 66.6%? Therefore, this gaming strategy is quite popular among bettors.
About probability
In fact, we are often not talking about any 66.6%. If Chelsea host Huddersfield, 9 out of 10 times they will win. So a bet like X2 will almost certainly lose here. This will reflect the coefficient for the event - it will be no less than five. Bet on 1X for Chelsea not interesting from a profit point of view. The more the chances of the competing teams are equalized, the lower the odds for a double outcome become. For equal teams, all three outcomes 1X, 12 and X2 are assessed by the bookmaker with odds of the type 1.3 – 1.5.
Is this a double chance?
Let's say you're interested in a meeting Atlético Madrid - Villarreal. The bookmaker gives odds of 1.9 for a home win and 4.0 for a draw. The defeat of Madrid does not interest us here, so we will not take it into account. For good measure, let’s take a bet of the notorious hundred dollars. You have decided to distribute the chances. This can be done by simple formulas which are given below:
Bet on win = odds on a draw X total bet amount / (odds on a draw + odds on winning)
We calculate using the formula:
Bet to win = 4.0 X 100 / (4.0+1.9) = $67.8
The value has been rounded. We have a bet size for Atlético to win.
Now we simply subtract the size of the bet on Madrid’s victory from the total bankroll:
100 – 67.8 = 32.2 dollars
This is how much money we will bet on a draw.
Let's imagine that Atlético wins, as befits a favorite. In this case, you need to multiply the amount of the bet on the victory of this team by the coefficient, which ultimately gives the following result:
1.9 x 67.8 = $128.82, so a profit of $28.82
If there is a draw, then we multiply 4.0 by 32.2 dollars and get 128.8 and a profit of 28.8 dollars, which is almost identical to the first indicator.
What's all this for? And to the fact that, according to the classics, the odds for a double outcome 1X will be such that the player’s profit is lower than in the case when he bets on each individual outcome. For example, this will be a coefficient of 1.21. That is, the winning amount on a 1X double outcome bet on Atlético will be 1.21 x 100 = 121, that is, $21 in profit, which is less than in the case of a bet on each individual outcome. Of course, the odds may be different, but it will still be below the standard ordinary.
Why? Because the bookmaker risks more if the bet is double, because the bettor’s chances increase sharply. The bookmaker is insured, but what about the bettor?
Or is it insurance?
In other words, double bets offer you a dilemma. Either you play with lower chances with one outcome, or with higher chances you play with two. But the profit in the second case will be at least no more, and actually less.
For a player for whom not losing money is the number one goal, and winning is whatever happens, betting on a double outcome - the most natural insurance. Especially if the recognized hegemon of the national championship plays the role of the home team. IN in this case the probability that a bet on a double outcome 1X will win is close to one hundred percent. The bettor plays it safe, and the bookmaker does the same, reducing the odds to almost one. If the odds for the favorite to win are in the range of 1.1 -1.2, then a 1X bet can be valued at a ridiculous odds like 1.02. Would a bettor be interested in this? Rhetorical question.
Double bet on the underdog
Now that we have understood the purpose of the double chance strategy, let’s look at how it can best be applied to someone who still wants to try out this tempting tactic. Bets like 1X are not very profitable in terms of profit, but bets on the fact that the outsider will not lose look much more attractive. Of course, we are not talking about a meeting of teams from different poles, for example, Real Madrid and Las Palmas.
The underdog could be London's Arsenal when they travel to Old Trafford to face Manchester United. For example, in the 2017/18 season, the victory of the Gunners over the Mancunians at the latter’s home stadium is estimated by bookmakers at odds of 7.0-8.0, and a draw - about 5.0. But the outcome of X2, that is, the fact that the Londoners will not lose, has a odds of 3.0.
Arsenal have always played poorly against the Red Devils away, but in lately the situation changed for the better for the gunners. In the last four meetings at home, the Mancunians won only one match, lost one and drew two. Arsenal's chances don't look so bad anymore, the coefficient of 3.0 should only add confidence. Here the X2 bet looks somewhat more attractive than the single bet on a draw or victory for the Gunners.
There will be no draw
This is probably the most difficult of the three possibilities to predict. Although from the point of view of probability the situation here is the same as with the other two outcomes, a draw quite often resolves a stubborn match between two teams charged with fighting. But high coefficient The bookmaker places a bet of 12 just when the strengths of the teams are approximately equal and the probability of a draw is higher.
In other words, you can play using any strategy, but before using it it is very important to calculate everything from a mathematical point of view. Unfortunately, For successful game and to make a profit, you will have to parse formulas and deal with a large number of numbers. You may not have it, but then take bets solely for the sake of pleasure.
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Betting strategies Views: 140521Instructions for making money using the “Win-Win Strategy for the Favorite” - a variation of “Dogon” with a yield of 30% to the bank. This is a guaranteed income.
Introduction
We recommend reading the entire strategy to the end. Try the strategy for a small pot and small bets. And when you understand that the strategy works, you can increase the bank. Choose a bookmaker's office. We recommend a time-tested, reliable and timely payment bookmaker's office official in the Russian Federation "Leon " bonus code Leon+ and bk "League Betting" " (bookmakers Leon and League of Betting are legal companies in the Russian Federation on the Internet online). Having chosen a bookmaker, let’s proceed directly to the strategy.
This strategy uses several types of strategies - these are such popular and proven strategies as Dogon, fixed profit and Frank Belanger System No. 8
- Fixed profit- the main objective of this strategy is a fixed amount bet
- Frank Belanger System No. 8- a strategy for playing in a bookmaker’s office, with the help of which betters can systematically make a profit with a bet pass rate of only 40%
- Dogon- a sports betting strategy in which the size of each subsequent bet depends on the result achieved by previous bets. The main goal is to return lost funds and make some profit. A special case of this strategy is the Martingale strategy.
It’s no secret that the “Dogon” system uses the Martingale strategy system, which is often used in casinos when playing roulette. But there you play with a casino, or if it’s an online casino, with a program, and it’s impossible to win against a casino. With bets at bookmakers using the Martingale system, which is used in the “catch-up” strategy, the situation is completely different because here you bet on live events and people - everything depends only on them and various factors. And the outcomes of events in sports are repeated with different frequency
Example of choosing a favorite
For example, take one leader of any football championship and consider the championship that has already passed.
Consider the Spanish Football Championship. La Liga Standings - Season 2012-2013
The table shows what championship was played 38 games 32 victories 2 losses and 4 draws.
Now the explanation: When betting on the catch-up strategy, you choose a club and bet on it throughout the championship on the result you choose, for example, on the victory of your chosen team. Having chosen the bet condition, namely, you want to have a certain profit from each bet.
Selecting the bet size to obtain the desired profit (formula)
Let’s say that our profit will be 100 rubles, our club is the favorite of the Spanish championship “Barcelona”. From the last championship it is clear that if you made bets with the condition that with each bet you would receive a profit of 100 rubles, then for the whole season you would win 32x100 rubles = 3200 rub. without losing the initial bank Since Barcelona is considered a favorite, the odds for its games are generally less than 1.5 and in order to get the desired profit you need to calculate the bet amount for each round using the formula
ST = (PS+NS) / (KF-1)
- ST – required amount for bet;
- NS – “desired” amount of profit;
- KF – bookmaker odds;
- PS – amount of lost bets
For example, in the first bet in the first round you have PS=0, if your KF=1.5 then to get 100 rubles you need to bet 200 rubles. Having considered the initial step - choosing a team, the desired profit and the type of bet (ours is on victory), we move on to the next step to the “Dogon” strategy itself.
The main principle of the strategy for the favorite is the desired profit
With the strategy, you place the first bet (we have a certain condition desired profit)
(100r and PS=0) calculating the rate using the above formula. We bet everything, waited for the result - your team won, then we continue to bet on the next games according to the same principle (the condition is a certain desired profit of 100 rubles and PS = 0) until the team loses or plays in a draw.
Once a team loses:
Now your bet will be calculated according to the basic formula where PS will matter, namely the lost amount (we have 200 rubles) and we get if for example
KF= 1.4 for the next match our bet will be equal to
200+100/1.4-1= 750 rub.
You place a bet, if the team wins then you get
750x1.4=1050 from here you can see that your profit will be 1 00rub = 1050 (total profit from the bet) - (750+200 is the amount of your bets).
If you lose your bet again for the second time in a row
again we calculate the bet amount using the formula for example
KF=1.8
then ST =200+750+100/1.8-1=1313
and again we bet on your team of the next round.
1313x1.8=2363 where your profit is 100 rubles b = 2363 (total profit) - (1313+750 + 200 the amount of your bets)
The bet wins, we go to the initial conditions for calculating the bet PS = 0 and so we play according to the method described above until the end of the championship or achieving the total profit you need from your bank.
And I almost forgot about one of the most important conditions in strategy - the size of your bank before starting bets on this strategy. The initial bank should be such that, for example, if it suddenly comes to a series of 3 or more lost bets, you have enough money for a bet, taking into account that you can win back the amount of all bets lost before and still have the desired profit. In this example, with the condition accepted by us (the desired profit is 100 rubles), here the initial bank will be on average 10,000 rubles.
To get started, register with a bookmaker and try this strategy on paper, conditionally, writing everything down on a piece of paper or not. big bank and rates. Then, once you are convinced, you can start playing for real money or for larger amounts.
Example and analysis of strategy
Now let's look at all Barcelona's games in the championship and why we chose this team for the Dogon strategy.
Green .- won bets
Kras and Yellow - lost bets
Picture below
When analyzing the table, it is clear that in the season there were not even series, i.e. 2 or more lost bets in a row. This is why the choice of club for betting is made - it is a favorite and it is very rare for it to have a series of 3 or more consecutive defeats and draws. So play this strategy on the favorites, betting on their victory and you will always make a profit. Once you reach a double pot, you can withdraw money from the bookmaker. Play in several offices, and choose those offices where the margin is lower.
Play in several championships with different favorites. Many pros in sports betting make money with this strategy.
The one downside to this strategy is the time it takes – after all, the championship lasts more than one month.
See below for an example of strategy calculations:
Bank 20,000 rub. desired profit 200 rub. bets on P (favourite victory) consider 10 rounds of a fictitious championship.
Formula:
ST= PS +NS/КF-1
- ST - calculated rate
- PS - amount of lost bets
- NS – desired profit
- KF coefficient for the match
1st round favorite win
KF=1.4 calculate ST =0 +200/1.4-1=200/0.4=500
500x1.4=700 our bank = 20200
2 round victory of the favorite
КF=1.6 we calculate ST =0 +200/1.6-1=200/0.6=334
334x1.6=534 our bank = 20400
3 round victory of the favorite
KF=1.3 calculate ST =0 +200/1.3-1=200/0.3=667
667x1.3=867 our bank = 20600
Round 4 draw favorite
KF=1.7 calculate ST =0 +200/1.7-1=200/0.7=285
285x1.7=485 (in case of victory) the bet did not work our bank = 20600-285=20315
5th round favorite win
KF=1.45 calculate ST =285 +200/1.45-1=485/0.45=1077
1077x1.45=1563 our bank = 19238+1563= 20800
6th round defeat of the favorite
КF=1.9 we calculate ST =0 +200/1.9-1=200/0.9=222
222x1.9=422 (in case of victory) the bet did not work our bank = 20800-222=20578
Round 7 draw favorite
KF=1.75 calculate ST =222 +200/1.75-1=422/0.75=562
562x1.75=984 (in case of victory) the bet did not work our bank = 20578-562=20016
Round 8 draw favorite
КF=1.6 we calculate ST =222+562 +200/1.7-1=984/0.6=1640
1640x1.6=2624 (in case of victory) the bet did not work our bank = 20016-1640=18376
9th round favorite wins
КF=1.5 we calculate ST =222+562+1640+200/1.5-1=200/0.5=3936
5248x1.5=7872 (in case of victory) the bet wins our bank =13128 +7872=21000
10th round victory of the favorite
FK=1.35 calculate ST=0 +200/1.35-1=200/0.35=571
571x1.35=771 our bank = 21200
The example shows that for ten rounds our profit was 1200 rubles. Yes, not much, but this is the downside of this strategy: it takes a lot of time and doesn’t make much profit. To tell the truth, in the example we looked at the worst options - a series of three defeats and a draw (the bets were not played) and another draw, and all this in 10 rounds. Usually favorites have 2-4 losses and 3-5 draws during the season. Well, the example was made specifically to show you all the subtleties of the strategy.
You can also see from the example that the higher the KF, the lower your bank losses. Usually the odds are high in matches with the championship leaders. And therefore this is a big plus of the strategy because if the bet does not work, you will not lose much since the calculated bet NS is directly proportional to the odds for the match KF. For example, the game of Real Madrid and Barcelona KF on them is somewhere around 2.0 and if you make a bet on this KF then calculate (if you take that PS = 0 and the desired profit is 100 rubles) then if you lose the bet you will lose 100 rubles the amount of the desired profit.
Well, for example, if you took for example NS = 200 rubles
If the team wins 35 games in a season, then you will earn 35x200=7000 rubles and this is a guaranteed profit.
To increase profit you need to increase NS - desired profit. For example, your NS = 10,000 rubles
Then for the season, if we take the above example, it will be 35x10,000 = 350,000 rubles. But the initial bank should be accordingly, below are examples of banks for different NS (desired profit). The bank is approximate, if it is larger it is even better.
Bank calculation for strategy
|
NS – desired profit in rubles. |
Initial bank in rub. |
|
10000 |
|
|
20000 |
|
|
1000 |
100000 |
|
5000 |
500000 |
|
10000 |
1000000 |
Some of my friends play this strategy and their NS = 15000-2000 rubles. Well, in a year they are somewhere around 500-600 thousand rubles. in profit. Yes, their banks range from 1.5 million rubles and above. But the income is appropriate.
On average 45-50 thousand rubles per month. if you take that the team plays about 5 games a month.
And one more piece of advice when choosing a bookmaker, make sure that the office has high limits on bets on matches or, best of all, none at all.
We also recommend the championships - Germany, Spain - here the same leaders have been for a long time - such super clubs as Bayern, Real Madrid, Barcelona. But it’s not necessarily possible to go to hockey, but there is a high probability of long losing streaks.
But in order to reduce or, one might say, reduce the unbeaten streak to a minimum, bet not purely on victory, but on PH (double outcome: victory and draw) or F(0) handicap to zero on the favorite (higher odds, but in case of a draw there will be a refund)Yes, the odds are lower, but you will increase your income because you will eliminate lost bets on draws.
This is how many pros make money. Well, for example, even using the example of the above-mentioned Spanish Championship 2012-2013, we will see that leaving the same desired profit of 100 rubles, but the condition is that we are not betting purely on victory, but with a double outcome on the favorite PH then we will lose only 2 bets. and profit will increase by 4x100=400 rubles due to excluded draws. Super true. Simple math and that's it.
Calculation of profit in %
We calculate the profit as a percentage - with the desired profit of 100 rubles and the bank 10,000 rubles, your income for the season will be with a bet on the winner P - 3,200 rubles, this is +32% of the profit 13,200 rubles your bank.. And if you make the desired profit from each bet 10,000 rubles and the bank 1,000,000 rubles - per season 320,000 rubles. You can go on vacation without worrying about expenses. No bank will give you such interest. It’s worth a try, but first try a strategy with small amounts, for example, take the desired profit of 50 rubles or the minimum bet at a particular bookmaker. Gentlemen, place your bets and start earning money, for example, to buy a new car.
Thank you for your attention!
Tennis is a very common discipline in the field of sports forecasting and betting. Major tournaments this species sports take place with enviable regularity. Matches from less prestigious competitions fill bookmakers' lines all year round. The abundant availability of tennis match predictions, combined with open statistics, allows forecasters to use a range of gaming strategies.
Double bet on a match
The fact that tennis is presented in the form of singles allows for the highest quality analysis of player statistics, as well as their game form. In addition, when making a forecast, it is necessary to take into account the factors of the court surface and the tournament motivation of the match participants. The obtained data, after analysis, in combination, can provide the player with the opportunity to make a double bet on one match, which, with the right approach and choice of odds, can be a win-win.
As an example of this strategy, we can consider a match between representatives of the men's tour. Tennis players who have a powerful first serve and rely on this component in their game often become participants in matches for which bookmakers give an inflated total. When such players meet in person, the odds for the main outcome of the match are set approximately equal, and the predicted number of games in the match reaches 24 or 24.5 (for a three-set match format).
To look at an example, let's take the match between Sam Querrey and John Isner. Both Americans have cannon serves and are not particularly good at returning. In a head-to-head confrontation, these tennis players on fast surfaces can be expected large quantity games and the presence of tiebreakers. Before the start of the match, bookmakers offer the total games (24.5) more for a quote of 1.80. Predicting the outcome of this event with a conditional bet of $100, we proceed to analysis latest results tennis players and the history of personal confrontations. Also, do not forget about studying tournament motivation for each tennis player.
Let's assume that the analytical work carried out gave us reason to assign the role of favorite in the match to Isner. If there are equal odds on the outcome before the start of the match, the odds on the outcome to win John's match in two sets will be approximately 2.65. We place a bet of $60 on this outcome.
- Total games in the match (24.5) more - 1.8 x 100 = $180 (possible winnings)
- Isner wins in sets 2:0 - 2.65 x 60 = $159 (possible winnings)
If Isner beats Querrey in two sets (7:6, 7:5), both bets will be played and the net profit will be $139. If only one of the predictions plays out, the payout will at least cover the bet amounts or give the bank an increase of $20.
An example of this strategy can be varied in different directions, taking into account the characteristics of court surfaces and the capabilities of the tennis players encountered.
Sports betting is a constant risk. Do you place a bet but can't make money? The fact is that you are taking too much risk, and unjustifiably. That is why it will not be superfluous to familiarize yourself with strategies with minimal risk loss of capital. By the way, some of them, with the right approach, are guaranteed to bring profit and allow you to gain profit, even if you are currently in the red.
Bookmakers' odds for the same outcomes differ. If you identify even a minimal difference, you can get a win with a 100% guarantee. Regardless of the outcome of the event, you will be in the black.
To understand the essence of the method, consider a simple example. For the win of player 1, the bookmaker gives a coefficient of 1.5, and for the win of player 2, the bookmaker "Betcity" set a coefficient of 5.0. He allocates 1000 rubles for the match. We bet 750 rubles on the first athlete and 250 on the second.
If player 1 wins, the payout is 1125 rubles, and if player 2, the winnings will be 1250 rubles. Net profit – 125 or 250 rubles. And it doesn’t matter how the fight ends - the main thing is that it ends.
Opportunities for such bets arise due to the fact that all bookmakers are not able to provide the same quotes, especially at the same time. You need to make money from this. The main thing is to place bets in different offices.
Underdog wins in the quarter
The strategy is designed for basketball. It is based on statistical indicators. The fact is that 98% of basketball matches do not end with the favorite winning in all quarters. Statistics are based on observations, because no one has conducted a detailed study, but this is not a reason to refuse possible earnings.
We find a Live match that has just started. We bet on the underdog to win in the first quarter. If the bet fails, we find another game. In case of defeat, he places a similar bet in the second quarter, but increases the amount of the initial bet. And so on until we win.
For example, if you bet 100 rubles and lost it, then bet not 200, but a little more. So that when we place a bet, we not only return the lost hundred, but also remain in the black.
There are very few basketball matches in which the favorite wins all periods - you can check this yourself by opening the results game day almost any tournament. To increase your chances of success, filter out events where the difference in odds is too large.
The strategy is easily modified. For example, bet not on the outsider, but on the favorite. You can bet on total or even/odd. Again, matches where the total would be more or only even in all quarters, minimum quantity. Take advantage of it!)
Dogon
The idea is that you are betting on a certain outcome. If the forecast turns out to be wrong, place a bet, doubling or even tripling the amount (depending on the odds).
The main thing is to choose the right fights and outcomes with high chances of success. Don't bet on anything. Consider every option, because you are risking your own money. Unfortunately, in the event of a prolonged black streak, from which even professionals are not insured, there is a risk of losing everything game bank, so stock up on an amount that is enough for 10-12 transactions. You can find out more about what catch-up is.
Forks
The essence of the strategy is that you should find the most profitable odds for each outcome of one event. By correctly distributing the allotted amount for the bet, regardless of the outcome of the game, you will remain in the black.
The difficulty lies in finding forks, although there are special programs for this. You can.
The profit from one arbitrage situation is 1-3%, sometimes more, but it is unlikely that you will be able to regularly find forks with higher profitability. This win-win strategy is advisable to use if you have a large bank. Then 1-3% seems to be not enough, but if it is 1-3% of a bank of 100 thousand rubles, then it’s not bad at all.
Example of a fork strategy football match. Barcelona and Real Madrid are playing. In BC "Leon" odds. on P1 is 2.3, in the “Betting League” on a draw – 3.3, and the odds. on P2 in “1xBet” is 3.97.
For bets, for example, we allocate 1000 rubles. On P1 we put 439.31 with odds. 2.3, for a draw – 306.18 per bet. 3.3 and 254.51 on P2 with coefficient. 3.97. The results will be as follows:
- if Barcelona wins (P1): 439.31 x 2.3 = 1010.41 rubles;
- if there is a draw (X): 306.18 x 3.3 = 1010.39 rubles;
- in case of Real Madrid winning (W2): 254.51 x 3.97 = 1010.40 rubles.
No matter how El Clasico ends, our profit will be a little more than 10 rubles. Pennies, but if as rates increase, income also increases.
Everything is so simple only in theory. The strategy has many nuances, pitfalls and features, so be sure to read the most detailed material about sure bets at this link.
First goal with foot
Football strategy involves betting that the first goal will be scored with a kick. In 75% of matches, the first goal is scored with the foot, and not with the head, chest or other part of the body.